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Finanza·AI

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica

icon for Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica
Finanza·AI

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica

giu 30

dic 31, 2027

dic 31, 2027

dic 31, 2027

giu 30

dic 31, 2027

dic 31, 2027

dic 31, 2027

Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 100.0%

<100 miliardi <1%

100–200 miliardi <1%

200–300 miliardi <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,139 Vol.

Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 100.0%

<100 miliardi <1%

100–200 miliardi <1%

200–300 miliardi <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,139 Vol.

<100 miliardi

$325,419 Vol.

<1%

100–200 miliardi

$154,179 Vol.

<1%

200–300 miliardi

$180,971 Vol.

<1%

300–400 miliardi

$135,124 Vol.

<1%

400–600 miliardi

$249,502 Vol.

<1%

600 miliardi+

$345,649 Vol.

<1%

Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026

$425,295 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,816,139
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,816,139
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Domande frequenti

"Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026" a 100%, seguito da "<100 miliardi" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica" ha generato $1.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 22, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica" è "Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "<100 miliardi" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.