Recent Bloomberg reporting from May 2026 indicates Apple has deprioritized the Vision Pro successor, shifting engineers away and targeting a substantially lighter, cheaper model no earlier than late 2028 or 2029. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh with visionOS updates counts only as an incremental update rather than a full next-generation release. This aligns with Apple's pivot toward smart glasses and broader mixed-reality challenges like cost, weight, and developer ecosystem maturity. Trader consensus at 94.5% on no release before 2027 reflects these verified delays, though an unexpected acceleration in supply chain progress or strategic pivot could still alter the timeline before year-end 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
6% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2026
6% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from May 2026 indicates Apple has deprioritized the Vision Pro successor, shifting engineers away and targeting a substantially lighter, cheaper model no earlier than late 2028 or 2029. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh with visionOS updates counts only as an incremental update rather than a full next-generation release. This aligns with Apple's pivot toward smart glasses and broader mixed-reality challenges like cost, weight, and developer ecosystem maturity. Trader consensus at 94.5% on no release before 2027 reflects these verified delays, though an unexpected acceleration in supply chain progress or strategic pivot could still alter the timeline before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,987Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from May 2026 indicates Apple has deprioritized the Vision Pro successor, shifting engineers away and targeting a substantially lighter, cheaper model no earlier than late 2028 or 2029. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh with visionOS updates counts only as an incremental update rather than a full next-generation release. This aligns with Apple's pivot toward smart glasses and broader mixed-reality challenges like cost, weight, and developer ecosystem maturity. Trader consensus at 94.5% on no release before 2027 reflects these verified delays, though an unexpected acceleration in supply chain progress or strategic pivot could still alter the timeline before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,987Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting from May 2026 indicates Apple has deprioritized the Vision Pro successor, shifting engineers away and targeting a substantially lighter, cheaper model no earlier than late 2028 or 2029. The October 2025 M5 chip refresh with visionOS updates counts only as an incremental update rather than a full next-generation release. This aligns with Apple's pivot toward smart glasses and broader mixed-reality challenges like cost, weight, and developer ecosystem maturity. Trader consensus at 94.5% on no release before 2027 reflects these verified delays, though an unexpected acceleration in supply chain progress or strategic pivot could still alter the timeline before year-end 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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