Trader consensus in this market reflects Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on Truth Social, with the leading outcomes of 160-179 posts currently priced at 40 percent. Activity levels in the 140-199 range account for nearly all remaining probability because recent political developments, including ongoing policy debates and public statements, have sustained his typical daily posting rate without triggering unusual spikes or lulls. The narrow spread between the top three bins indicates traders view the final tally as closely contested, sensitive to any late-week announcements or responses that could add or subtract a modest number of posts before the May 19 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
160-179 42%
180-199 29.2%
140-159 29%
200+ 6.6%
$120,597 Vol.
$120,597 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
2%
140-159
29%
160-179
37%
180-199
29%
200+
7%
160-179 42%
180-199 29.2%
140-159 29%
200+ 6.6%
$120,597 Vol.
$120,597 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
2%
140-159
29%
160-179
37%
180-199
29%
200+
7%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market reflects Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on Truth Social, with the leading outcomes of 160-179 posts currently priced at 40 percent. Activity levels in the 140-199 range account for nearly all remaining probability because recent political developments, including ongoing policy debates and public statements, have sustained his typical daily posting rate without triggering unusual spikes or lulls. The narrow spread between the top three bins indicates traders view the final tally as closely contested, sensitive to any late-week announcements or responses that could add or subtract a modest number of posts before the May 19 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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