Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 26–30 tweets daily in tracked periods, anchors trader expectations for the June 19–26 window near the 180–239 range. Business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, combined with ongoing government-efficiency commentary and habitual replies or memes, sustain this elevated volume, particularly on weekdays. The tight clustering of probabilities across the top three brackets reflects uncertainty over whether external news cycles or personal schedule shifts will push daily output higher or keep it steady, mirroring patterns seen in similar short-term markets. No major announced events appear positioned to trigger a sustained spike or lull during the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$276,401 Vol.
$276,401 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$276,401 Vol.
$276,401 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 26–30 tweets daily in tracked periods, anchors trader expectations for the June 19–26 window near the 180–239 range. Business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, combined with ongoing government-efficiency commentary and habitual replies or memes, sustain this elevated volume, particularly on weekdays. The tight clustering of probabilities across the top three brackets reflects uncertainty over whether external news cycles or personal schedule shifts will push daily output higher or keep it steady, mirroring patterns seen in similar short-term markets. No major announced events appear positioned to trigger a sustained spike or lull during the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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