Elon Musk’s variable X activity, typically averaging 20–35 posts daily amid business updates, policy reactions, and real-time engagement, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range (49.5% implied probability) for the June 18–20 window. This three-day span aligns with a moderate pace of roughly 13–21 tweets daily, consistent with recent baselines that have shown occasional deceleration from higher historical norms. The adjacent 65-89 band (35.5%) captures upside potential from any weekend news cycle or platform commentary, while lower-probability buckets reflect the risk of quieter periods or spikes tied to major developments. Proximity to the period leaves room for last-minute catalysts like earnings or headlines to shift momentum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 50%
65-89 36%
<40 7%
90-114 7.0%
NUOVO
$37,208 Vol.
NUOVO
$37,208 Vol.
20 giu 2026
<40
7%
40-64
50%
65-89
36%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 36%
<40 7%
90-114 7.0%
NUOVO
$37,208 Vol.
NUOVO
$37,208 Vol.
20 giu 2026
<40
$1,476 Vol.
7%
40-64
$583 Vol.
50%
65-89
$1,942 Vol.
36%
90-114
$1,408 Vol.
7%
115-139
$806 Vol.
1%
140-164
$512 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,845 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$13,694 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,964 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,979 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable X activity, typically averaging 20–35 posts daily amid business updates, policy reactions, and real-time engagement, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range (49.5% implied probability) for the June 18–20 window. This three-day span aligns with a moderate pace of roughly 13–21 tweets daily, consistent with recent baselines that have shown occasional deceleration from higher historical norms. The adjacent 65-89 band (35.5%) captures upside potential from any weekend news cycle or platform commentary, while lower-probability buckets reflect the risk of quieter periods or spikes tied to major developments. Proximity to the period leaves room for last-minute catalysts like earnings or headlines to shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Volume
$37,208Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable X activity, typically averaging 20–35 posts daily amid business updates, policy reactions, and real-time engagement, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range (49.5% implied probability) for the June 18–20 window. This three-day span aligns with a moderate pace of roughly 13–21 tweets daily, consistent with recent baselines that have shown occasional deceleration from higher historical norms. The adjacent 65-89 band (35.5%) captures upside potential from any weekend news cycle or platform commentary, while lower-probability buckets reflect the risk of quieter periods or spikes tied to major developments. Proximity to the period leaves room for last-minute catalysts like earnings or headlines to shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$37,208Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s variable X activity, typically averaging 20–35 posts daily amid business updates, policy reactions, and real-time engagement, anchors trader sentiment around the 40-64 range (49.5% implied probability) for the June 18–20 window. This three-day span aligns with a moderate pace of roughly 13–21 tweets daily, consistent with recent baselines that have shown occasional deceleration from higher historical norms. The adjacent 65-89 band (35.5%) captures upside potential from any weekend news cycle or platform commentary, while lower-probability buckets reflect the risk of quieter periods or spikes tied to major developments. Proximity to the period leaves room for last-minute catalysts like earnings or headlines to shift momentum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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