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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 75%

Bulgaria 20.1%

Ukraine 3.6%

Romania 2.6%

Polymarket

$218,437 Vol.

Australia 75%

Bulgaria 20.1%

Ukraine 3.6%

Romania 2.6%

Polymarket

$218,437 Vol.

Australia

$44,963 Vol.

75%

Bulgaria

$16,179 Vol.

20%

Ukraine

$14,416 Vol.

4%

Romania

$18,088 Vol.

3%

Denmark

$47,505 Vol.

1%

Norway

$9,016 Vol.

1%

Czechia

$9,803 Vol.

1%

Albania

$9,119 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$6,922 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant delivery of the power ballad "Eclipse," which featured dramatic staging with fire, wind effects, and a glittering crescent moon backdrop during the May 14 Vienna performance. The established Australian artist's note-perfect vocals and broad appeal secured strong jury and televote support under the 50/50 voting split, driving her rapid surge in betting markets and cementing her as the clear frontrunner to top the semi-final scoreboard. Bulgaria's Dara with the upbeat "Bangaranga" holds a distant second place on the strength of energetic choreography and solid rehearsal feedback, while Ukraine, Romania, and Denmark trail further behind amid a competitive field where only ten nations advanced to the Grand Final. With results imminent, trader sentiment hinges on these confirmed performance outcomes and historical patterns favoring high-production entries from experienced artists.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$218,437
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant delivery of the power ballad "Eclipse," which featured dramatic staging with fire, wind effects, and a glittering crescent moon backdrop during the May 14 Vienna performance. The established Australian artist's note-perfect vocals and broad appeal secured strong jury and televote support under the 50/50 voting split, driving her rapid surge in betting markets and cementing her as the clear frontrunner to top the semi-final scoreboard. Bulgaria's Dara with the upbeat "Bangaranga" holds a distant second place on the strength of energetic choreography and solid rehearsal feedback, while Ukraine, Romania, and Denmark trail further behind amid a competitive field where only ten nations advanced to the Grand Final. With results imminent, trader sentiment hinges on these confirmed performance outcomes and historical patterns favoring high-production entries from experienced artists.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$218,437
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Australia" a 75%, seguito da "Bulgaria" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 75¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ha generato $218.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" è "Australia" a 75%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Bulgaria" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.