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icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Bulgaria 100.0%

Albania <1%

Austria <1%

Belgio <1%

Polymarket

$193,837,509 Vol.

Bulgaria 100.0%

Albania <1%

Austria <1%

Belgio <1%

Polymarket

$193,837,509 Vol.

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$6,715,097 Vol.

100%

icon for Albania

Albania

$8,004,562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$8,102,125 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgio

Belgio

$5,418,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croazia

Croazia

$5,646,663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cechia

Cechia

$3,523,119 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francia

Francia

$4,296,545 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germania

Germania

$4,629,156 Vol.

<1%

icon for Israele

Israele

$5,331,364 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$5,406,179 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvegia

Norvegia

$6,091,227 Vol.

<1%

icon for Svezia

Svezia

$3,197,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$3,941,486 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$4,635,968 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cipro

Cipro

$4,313,297 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danimarca

Danimarca

$3,472,759 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$6,587,069 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,876,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,904,245 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$6,084,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,428,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$8,390,062 Vol.

<1%

icon for Romania

Romania

$4,191,400 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,727,740 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regno Unito

Regno Unito

$4,802,234 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has locked in a 100% market-implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Dara’s commanding “Bangaranga” performances across the second semi-final, dress rehearsals, and final that secured both jury and televote dominance with 516 points. The track’s fusion of contemporary pop and Bulgarian folklore resonated strongly with voters and critics, marking the nation’s first victory after a three-year return and aligning with recent betting-market surges that elevated it into the top tier. This level of consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” among traders staking real capital on verified momentum. An upset would require an unprecedented late reversal in public or jury voting, though such scenarios appear highly improbable given the entry’s established lead.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,837,509
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Esito proposto: No

Finestra di contestazione

Finale

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has locked in a 100% market-implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Dara’s commanding “Bangaranga” performances across the second semi-final, dress rehearsals, and final that secured both jury and televote dominance with 516 points. The track’s fusion of contemporary pop and Bulgarian folklore resonated strongly with voters and critics, marking the nation’s first victory after a three-year return and aligning with recent betting-market surges that elevated it into the top tier. This level of consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” among traders staking real capital on verified momentum. An upset would require an unprecedented late reversal in public or jury voting, though such scenarios appear highly improbable given the entry’s established lead.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,837,509
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Esito proposto: No

Finestra di contestazione

Finale

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bulgaria" a 100%, seguito da "Albania" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" ha generato $193.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Eurovision 2026", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è "Bulgaria" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Albania" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.