Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" has surged into the clear lead at 57.3% implied probability on the back of standout rehearsal buzz, a commanding semi-final performance, and strong early televote signals that have shifted trader consensus ahead of tonight's grand final in Vienna. Israel follows at 25.3% with Noam Bettan's "Michelle," buoyed by consistent jury appeal and established pop credentials, while Finland sits at 22.4% thanks to the violin-driven ballad "Liekinheitin" from Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen. The compressed market reflects late momentum swings from semi qualifiers and running-order positioning, with Australia and lower contenders trailing amid the unpredictable mix of jury and public voting that defines Eurovision outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Bulgaria 38.0%
Israele 31.8%
Finlandia 22.0%
Australia 6.1%
$190,631,566 Vol.
$190,631,566 Vol.
Bulgaria
38%
Israele
32%
Finlandia
22%
Australia
6%
Danimarca
2%
Italia
1%
Francia
1%
Grecia
1%
Romania
1%
Malta
<1%
Norvegia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Belgio
<1%
Croazia
<1%
Germania
<1%
Moldavia
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Ucraina
<1%
Cipro
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Regno Unito
<1%
Bulgaria 38.0%
Israele 31.8%
Finlandia 22.0%
Australia 6.1%
$190,631,566 Vol.
$190,631,566 Vol.
Bulgaria
38%
Israele
32%
Finlandia
22%
Australia
6%
Danimarca
2%
Italia
1%
Francia
1%
Grecia
1%
Romania
1%
Malta
<1%
Norvegia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Belgio
<1%
Croazia
<1%
Germania
<1%
Moldavia
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Ucraina
<1%
Cipro
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Regno Unito
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" has surged into the clear lead at 57.3% implied probability on the back of standout rehearsal buzz, a commanding semi-final performance, and strong early televote signals that have shifted trader consensus ahead of tonight's grand final in Vienna. Israel follows at 25.3% with Noam Bettan's "Michelle," buoyed by consistent jury appeal and established pop credentials, while Finland sits at 22.4% thanks to the violin-driven ballad "Liekinheitin" from Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen. The compressed market reflects late momentum swings from semi qualifiers and running-order positioning, with Australia and lower contenders trailing amid the unpredictable mix of jury and public voting that defines Eurovision outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti