Finland’s commanding lead at 50.2% stems from the electric reception for Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen’s fiery disco track “Liekinheitin,” whose rare live-violin staging earned immediate jury and fan acclaim after strong semi-final qualifiers in Vienna. Traders have priced in this momentum surge, which widened Finland’s gap following the May 14 second semi-final. Australia’s 24.7% reflects Delta Goodrem’s polished pop powerhouse “Eclipse” and her established star power, positioning it as the clearest challenger in a jury-heavy final. Romania and Greece sit further back at 6.2% and 5.8% on solid but less decisive showings, while Israel’s televote appeal has not yet closed the overall gap. With the grand final hours away on May 16, late running-order effects and last-minute jury shifts remain the key swing factors.