Finland's commanding 50% implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner heading into tonight's grand final, driven by strong critical buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy disco entry "Liekinheitin," which has dominated bookmakers and rehearsal feedback. Australia's 26% share positions Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse" as the main challenger, capitalizing on established international appeal and consistent staging updates. Smaller shares for Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece track their recent national selection momentum and semi-final advancements, though the market remains sensitive to last-minute jury and televote shifts in Vienna. With national campaigns now complete, traders are watching final running order impacts and live performance variables for any late swings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 50.4%
Australia 25.1%
Bulgaria 7.5%
Israele 6.6%
$185,293,562 Vol.
$185,293,562 Vol.

Finlandia
50%

Australia
25%

Bulgaria
8%

Israele
7%

Grecia
4%

Romania
2%

Danimarca
2%

Moldavia
1%

Italia
1%

Svezia
1%

Francia
1%

Malta
1%

Ucraina
1%

Serbia
<1%

Cipro
<1%

Croazia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Cechia
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Germania
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%
Finlandia 50.4%
Australia 25.1%
Bulgaria 7.5%
Israele 6.6%
$185,293,562 Vol.
$185,293,562 Vol.

Finlandia
50%

Australia
25%

Bulgaria
8%

Israele
7%

Grecia
4%

Romania
2%

Danimarca
2%

Moldavia
1%

Italia
1%

Svezia
1%

Francia
1%

Malta
1%

Ucraina
1%

Serbia
<1%

Cipro
<1%

Croazia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Cechia
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Germania
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's commanding 50% implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner heading into tonight's grand final, driven by strong critical buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy disco entry "Liekinheitin," which has dominated bookmakers and rehearsal feedback. Australia's 26% share positions Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse" as the main challenger, capitalizing on established international appeal and consistent staging updates. Smaller shares for Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece track their recent national selection momentum and semi-final advancements, though the market remains sensitive to last-minute jury and televote shifts in Vienna. With national campaigns now complete, traders are watching final running order impacts and live performance variables for any late swings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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