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icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 50.4%

Australia 25.1%

Bulgaria 7.5%

Israele 6.6%

Polymarket

$185,293,562 Vol.

Finlandia 50.4%

Australia 25.1%

Bulgaria 7.5%

Israele 6.6%

Polymarket

$185,293,562 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$5,809,474 Vol.

50%

icon for Australia

Australia

$4,097,566 Vol.

25%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$5,207,676 Vol.

8%

icon for Israele

Israele

$4,174,527 Vol.

7%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,753,108 Vol.

4%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,887,682 Vol.

2%

icon for Danimarca

Danimarca

$3,187,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$5,033,945 Vol.

1%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,577,683 Vol.

1%

icon for Svezia

Svezia

$3,053,090 Vol.

1%

icon for Francia

Francia

$4,029,844 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,286,095 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$3,718,182 Vol.

1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,696,915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cipro

Cipro

$4,246,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croazia

Croazia

$5,533,784 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,679,344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvegia

Norvegia

$5,952,616 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cechia

Cechia

$2,908,264 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$8,071,595 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$8,013,825 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgio

Belgio

$5,374,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germania

Germania

$4,517,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$6,040,719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regno Unito

Regno Unito

$4,768,089 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 50% implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner heading into tonight's grand final, driven by strong critical buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy disco entry "Liekinheitin," which has dominated bookmakers and rehearsal feedback. Australia's 26% share positions Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse" as the main challenger, capitalizing on established international appeal and consistent staging updates. Smaller shares for Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece track their recent national selection momentum and semi-final advancements, though the market remains sensitive to last-minute jury and televote shifts in Vienna. With national campaigns now complete, traders are watching final running order impacts and live performance variables for any late swings.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$185,293,562
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 50% implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner heading into tonight's grand final, driven by strong critical buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy disco entry "Liekinheitin," which has dominated bookmakers and rehearsal feedback. Australia's 26% share positions Delta Goodrem's polished "Eclipse" as the main challenger, capitalizing on established international appeal and consistent staging updates. Smaller shares for Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece track their recent national selection momentum and semi-final advancements, though the market remains sensitive to last-minute jury and televote shifts in Vienna. With national campaigns now complete, traders are watching final running order impacts and live performance variables for any late swings.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$185,293,562
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Finlandia" a 50%, seguito da "Australia" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" ha generato $185.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Eurovision 2026", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è "Finlandia" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Australia" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.