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icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 43.2%

Australia 29.6%

Israele 7.4%

Bulgaria 6.8%

Polymarket

$180,899,259 Vol.

Finlandia 43.2%

Australia 29.6%

Israele 7.4%

Bulgaria 6.8%

Polymarket

$180,899,259 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$5,542,498 Vol.

43%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,966,689 Vol.

30%

icon for Israele

Israele

$3,954,094 Vol.

7%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$5,047,257 Vol.

7%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$4,578,925 Vol.

6%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,741,980 Vol.

4%

icon for Danimarca

Danimarca

$3,158,108 Vol.

2%

icon for Italia

Italia

$4,460,107 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,166,093 Vol.

1%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,920,589 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$3,542,754 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,861,243 Vol.

1%

icon for Svezia

Svezia

$2,769,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croazia

Croazia

$5,461,588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,560,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cechia

Cechia

$2,799,558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cipro

Cipro

$3,983,342 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvegia

Norvegia

$5,736,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$7,776,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,532,012 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,649,840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgio

Belgio

$5,249,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germania

Germania

$4,307,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,907,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regno Unito

Regno Unito

$4,387,740 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$180,899,259
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$180,899,259
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Finlandia" a 43%, seguito da "Australia" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" ha generato $180.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Eurovision 2026", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è "Finlandia" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Australia" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.