Ongoing European heatwave conditions, fueled by a persistent Omega block and northward surge of subtropical air, represent the dominant driver lifting trader expectations for Amsterdam's August 3 maximum toward 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and national models shows modest warming relative to July averages, tempered by North Sea moderation that caps extremes below Mediterranean peaks. Clear skies and light winds forecast for the period favor strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering keeps probabilities clustered near 32 °C. Updated short-range runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 3 agosto?
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$132 Vol.
2%
29°C
$407 Vol.
4%
30°C
$465 Vol.
10%
31°C
$202 Vol.
30%
32°C
$1,189 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,114 Vol.
16%
34°C
$157 Vol.
6%
35°C
$318 Vol.
2%
36°C
$116 Vol.
1%
37°C o superiore
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, fueled by a persistent Omega block and northward surge of subtropical air, represent the dominant driver lifting trader expectations for Amsterdam's August 3 maximum toward 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and national models shows modest warming relative to July averages, tempered by North Sea moderation that caps extremes below Mediterranean peaks. Clear skies and light winds forecast for the period favor strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering keeps probabilities clustered near 32 °C. Updated short-range runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,225Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, fueled by a persistent Omega block and northward surge of subtropical air, represent the dominant driver lifting trader expectations for Amsterdam's August 3 maximum toward 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and national models shows modest warming relative to July averages, tempered by North Sea moderation that caps extremes below Mediterranean peaks. Clear skies and light winds forecast for the period favor strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering keeps probabilities clustered near 32 °C. Updated short-range runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,225Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing European heatwave conditions, fueled by a persistent Omega block and northward surge of subtropical air, represent the dominant driver lifting trader expectations for Amsterdam's August 3 maximum toward 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and national models shows modest warming relative to July averages, tempered by North Sea moderation that caps extremes below Mediterranean peaks. Clear skies and light winds forecast for the period favor strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact steering keeps probabilities clustered near 32 °C. Updated short-range runs and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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