Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 3 agosto?
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
22%
24°C
56%
25°C
21%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
1%
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$37 Vol.
1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
11%
23°C
$110 Vol.
22%
24°C
$15 Vol.
56%
25°C
$36 Vol.
21%
26°C
$6 Vol.
6%
27°C
$38 Vol.
3%
28°C
$27 Vol.
1%
29°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$319Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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