Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services show Moscow's August 3 high centering near 25–26°C under typical late-summer conditions, with limited moisture and moderate winds limiting further warming. Recent runs indicate a slight cooling trend after early-month peaks near 29–30°C, aligning with climatological averages of 22–24°C for early August while acknowledging model spread from variable cloud cover and frontal passages. Trader consensus around these values reflects high-resolution ensemble guidance updated daily, with resolution hinging on official Moscow Observatory readings at standard afternoon observation times. New model cycles and satellite data through August 2 will refine the narrow 24–27°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 3 agosto?
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 9%
21°C o inferiore
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C o superiore
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 9%
21°C o inferiore
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services show Moscow's August 3 high centering near 25–26°C under typical late-summer conditions, with limited moisture and moderate winds limiting further warming. Recent runs indicate a slight cooling trend after early-month peaks near 29–30°C, aligning with climatological averages of 22–24°C for early August while acknowledging model spread from variable cloud cover and frontal passages. Trader consensus around these values reflects high-resolution ensemble guidance updated daily, with resolution hinging on official Moscow Observatory readings at standard afternoon observation times. New model cycles and satellite data through August 2 will refine the narrow 24–27°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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