**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 23, 2026, show a high near 21°C amid a passing weather system with showers or thunderstorms, which explains the tight clustering of market probabilities around 18–21°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Turkish meteorological summaries and international models, indicate daytime maxima of 20–22°C with southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and precipitation chances that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. This represents a notable drop from early-September seasonal norms near 26–27°C, driven by the transition to autumnal conditions and an incoming trough. The spread in implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity—lighter or later showers could allow brief warming toward 22°C, while steadier cloudiness or earlier rain favors 19°C or below. New model runs and updated guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 23 settembre?
21°C 29%
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
18°C 16%
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
12%
18°C
16%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
29%
22°C
11%
23°C o superiore
1%
21°C 29%
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
18°C 16%
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
12%
18°C
16%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
29%
22°C
11%
23°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Ankara on September 23, 2026, show a high near 21°C amid a passing weather system with showers or thunderstorms, which explains the tight clustering of market probabilities around 18–21°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Turkish meteorological summaries and international models, indicate daytime maxima of 20–22°C with southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and precipitation chances that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. This represents a notable drop from early-September seasonal norms near 26–27°C, driven by the transition to autumnal conditions and an incoming trough. The spread in implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity—lighter or later showers could allow brief warming toward 22°C, while steadier cloudiness or earlier rain favors 19°C or below. New model runs and updated guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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