Persistent high pressure and clear skies under a strong summer ridge continue to drive extreme daytime heating across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 20 centering on highs of 102–104°F amid southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs and agency outlooks show little change in this pattern, consistent with typical late-August climatology when overnight lows remain in the upper 70s and solar heating peaks without precipitation or frontal interference. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% probability for 102–103°F and 28% for 104–105°F aligns closely with these verified forecasts, though small uncertainties in exact boundary-layer moisture or subtle wind shifts could nudge the daily maximum within the narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 20 agosto?
102-103°F 55%
104-105°F 29%
100-101°F 12%
106-107°F 5%
95°F o inferiore
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
55%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
102-103°F 55%
104-105°F 29%
100-101°F 12%
106-107°F 5%
95°F o inferiore
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
55%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear skies under a strong summer ridge continue to drive extreme daytime heating across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 20 centering on highs of 102–104°F amid southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs and agency outlooks show little change in this pattern, consistent with typical late-August climatology when overnight lows remain in the upper 70s and solar heating peaks without precipitation or frontal interference. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% probability for 102–103°F and 28% for 104–105°F aligns closely with these verified forecasts, though small uncertainties in exact boundary-layer moisture or subtle wind shifts could nudge the daily maximum within the narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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