Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 3 agosto?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
22°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
1%
26°C
$128 Vol.
5%
27°C
$371 Vol.
20%
28°C
$151 Vol.
35%
29°C
$793 Vol.
29%
30°C
$298 Vol.
8%
31°C
$525 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$223 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,471Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,471Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and showers expected over Hong Kong on August 3 are the main factors keeping the highest temperature centered on 28–29 °C in trader assessments. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicates a moist southwesterly flow bringing widespread rain and limited insolation, which suppresses daytime heating relative to the August climatological mean of 31–32 °C. Recent seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range forecasts highlight this transient wet pattern that favors values near the lower end of the typical range. Key variables still in play include the exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized thunderstorm intensity, with updated model runs and Observatory briefings expected to refine the maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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