Traders have converged on a near-certain outcome for 26°C or higher as the highest temperature in Jinan today because official observations and forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime peak near 33°C under thunderstorms. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak summer heat. The market-implied odds reflect real-time data confirming conditions well above the threshold, consistent with regional patterns of high humidity and southerly flow. Only an unprecedented measurement revision or localized cooling event below 26°C could alter resolution, though current model consensus and station reports make such shifts improbable before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Jinan il 20 agosto?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
16°C or below
$345 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,031 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a near-certain outcome for 26°C or higher as the highest temperature in Jinan today because official observations and forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime peak near 33°C under thunderstorms. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak summer heat. The market-implied odds reflect real-time data confirming conditions well above the threshold, consistent with regional patterns of high humidity and southerly flow. Only an unprecedented measurement revision or localized cooling event below 26°C could alter resolution, though current model consensus and station reports make such shifts improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,115Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a near-certain outcome for 26°C or higher as the highest temperature in Jinan today because official observations and forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime peak near 33°C under thunderstorms. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak summer heat. The market-implied odds reflect real-time data confirming conditions well above the threshold, consistent with regional patterns of high humidity and southerly flow. Only an unprecedented measurement revision or localized cooling event below 26°C could alter resolution, though current model consensus and station reports make such shifts improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,115Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a near-certain outcome for 26°C or higher as the highest temperature in Jinan today because official observations and forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daytime peak near 33°C under thunderstorms. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak summer heat. The market-implied odds reflect real-time data confirming conditions well above the threshold, consistent with regional patterns of high humidity and southerly flow. Only an unprecedented measurement revision or localized cooling event below 26°C could alter resolution, though current model consensus and station reports make such shifts improbable before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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