**Strong model consensus and current atmospheric conditions drive the near-certain market odds for a high of 26°C or above in Jinan on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and daytime heating under typical early-September subtropical conditions, with projected highs of 30–32°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where September averages feature warm days before autumn cooling sets in. The implied probability exceeds 99% because no significant frontal systems or increased cloud cover appear in recent model runs. Only an unanticipated rapid change in steering patterns or unforecasted moisture influx could realistically lower the peak below 26°C, though such shifts remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 5 settembre?
26°C o superiore 100.0%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,054 Vol.
$16,054 Vol.
16°C o meno
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
100%
26°C o superiore 100.0%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,054 Vol.
$16,054 Vol.
16°C o meno
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and current atmospheric conditions drive the near-certain market odds for a high of 26°C or above in Jinan on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and daytime heating under typical early-September subtropical conditions, with projected highs of 30–32°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where September averages feature warm days before autumn cooling sets in. The implied probability exceeds 99% because no significant frontal systems or increased cloud cover appear in recent model runs. Only an unanticipated rapid change in steering patterns or unforecasted moisture influx could realistically lower the peak below 26°C, though such shifts remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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