**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and aligned global models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes efficient overnight radiative cooling.** Early September climatology for Shandong province supports this range, with typical diurnal swings of 10–14°C under dry northeasterly flow and low humidity. Multiple model runs show consistent nighttime lows near 16°C, with minimal disagreement among ensembles. The 99.5% market-implied probability reflects traders’ aggregated assessment of these data, backed by real capital at risk. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer advection from the south could realistically push the low above 17°C or below 15°C before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 5 settembre?
16°C 99.4%
12°C o inferiore 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 99.4%
12°C o inferiore 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and aligned global models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes efficient overnight radiative cooling.** Early September climatology for Shandong province supports this range, with typical diurnal swings of 10–14°C under dry northeasterly flow and low humidity. Multiple model runs show consistent nighttime lows near 16°C, with minimal disagreement among ensembles. The 99.5% market-implied probability reflects traders’ aggregated assessment of these data, backed by real capital at risk. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer advection from the south could realistically push the low above 17°C or below 15°C before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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