Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 10 giugno?
40°C 100.0%
39°C o inferiore <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 Vol.
$48,144 Vol.
39°C o inferiore
No
40°C
Sì
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C o superiore
No
40°C 100.0%
39°C o inferiore <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 Vol.
$48,144 Vol.
39°C o inferiore
No
40°C
Sì
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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