Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 37%
14°C 36%
16°C 15%
13°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 giu 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
13%
14°C
31%
15°C
37%
16°C
15%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 37%
14°C 36%
16°C 15%
13°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 giu 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C
$20 Vol.
2%
13°C
$15 Vol.
13%
14°C
$13 Vol.
31%
15°C
$14 Vol.
37%
16°C
$128 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
4%
19°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$107Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model runs point to a northerly airflow delivering above-average highs of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 13 June, with the tight 37 %–30.5 % split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast cloud cover and frontal timing. Seasonal baselines place June maxima near 13 °C, so the current consensus implies modest warm-air advection ahead of an approaching trough. Ensemble spread remains narrow, limiting odds for 16 °C or cooler values below 16 % combined, while any last-minute model shift in wind strength or low-level moisture could quickly reprice the leading contracts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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