Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 12 agosto?
25°C 45%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
45%
26°C
32%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C o superiore
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$262 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Vol.
2%
23°C
$251 Vol.
4%
24°C
$372 Vol.
11%
25°C
$492 Vol.
45%
26°C
$602 Vol.
32%
27°C
$187 Vol.
6%
28°C
$164 Vol.
2%
29°C o superiore
$231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$3,089Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,089Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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