Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place the most probable maximum temperature in Paris on August 18 in the 27–28°C range, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge with light westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating after an earlier heatwave. These conditions moderate surface temperatures relative to mid-August peaks near 36–38°C, while model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud timing creates the tight 33% versus 31.5% market split between 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Paris station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 agosto?
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
29°C 20%
26°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 32%
29°C 20%
26°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$30 Vol.
7%
26°C
$72 Vol.
13%
27°C
$126 Vol.
32%
28°C
$171 Vol.
32%
29°C
$140 Vol.
20%
30°C
$23 Vol.
4%
31°C
$197 Vol.
1%
32°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place the most probable maximum temperature in Paris on August 18 in the 27–28°C range, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge with light westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating after an earlier heatwave. These conditions moderate surface temperatures relative to mid-August peaks near 36–38°C, while model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud timing creates the tight 33% versus 31.5% market split between 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Paris station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,841Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place the most probable maximum temperature in Paris on August 18 in the 27–28°C range, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge with light westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating after an earlier heatwave. These conditions moderate surface temperatures relative to mid-August peaks near 36–38°C, while model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud timing creates the tight 33% versus 31.5% market split between 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Paris station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,841Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place the most probable maximum temperature in Paris on August 18 in the 27–28°C range, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge with light westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating after an earlier heatwave. These conditions moderate surface temperatures relative to mid-August peaks near 36–38°C, while model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud timing creates the tight 33% versus 31.5% market split between 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Paris station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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