Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models indicate São Paulo highs of 30–32°C on August 20, with 31–32°C emerging as the narrow favorites amid low precipitation and moderate easterly flow. Dry winter conditions typical of August, combined with recent days reaching 27–28°C, support slight positive anomalies relative to the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and insolation under partly sunny skies creates the tight market split, as small shifts in timing or cloud cover could favor either outcome. Updated runs expected tomorrow will further refine the maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 20 agosto?
32°C 47%
31°C 37%
33°C 10%
30°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
37%
32°C
47%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 37%
33°C 10%
30°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
4%
30°C
$109 Vol.
7%
31°C
$447 Vol.
37%
32°C
$888 Vol.
47%
33°C
$86 Vol.
10%
34°C
$25 Vol.
2%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models indicate São Paulo highs of 30–32°C on August 20, with 31–32°C emerging as the narrow favorites amid low precipitation and moderate easterly flow. Dry winter conditions typical of August, combined with recent days reaching 27–28°C, support slight positive anomalies relative to the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and insolation under partly sunny skies creates the tight market split, as small shifts in timing or cloud cover could favor either outcome. Updated runs expected tomorrow will further refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,894Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models indicate São Paulo highs of 30–32°C on August 20, with 31–32°C emerging as the narrow favorites amid low precipitation and moderate easterly flow. Dry winter conditions typical of August, combined with recent days reaching 27–28°C, support slight positive anomalies relative to the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and insolation under partly sunny skies creates the tight market split, as small shifts in timing or cloud cover could favor either outcome. Updated runs expected tomorrow will further refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,894Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models indicate São Paulo highs of 30–32°C on August 20, with 31–32°C emerging as the narrow favorites amid low precipitation and moderate easterly flow. Dry winter conditions typical of August, combined with recent days reaching 27–28°C, support slight positive anomalies relative to the 23–25°C climatological average. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and insolation under partly sunny skies creates the tight market split, as small shifts in timing or cloud cover could favor either outcome. Updated runs expected tomorrow will further refine the maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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