Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 13 agosto?
36°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Vol.
$62,164 Vol.
13 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Sì
37°C
No
38°C o superiore
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Vol.
$62,164 Vol.
13 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
$1,387 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,012 Vol.
No
30°C
$837 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,170 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,899 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,744 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,482 Vol.
No
35°C
$13,798 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,308 Vol.
Sì
37°C
$7,875 Vol.
No
38°C o superiore
$4,652 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$62,164Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,164Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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