Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
51%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
23°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$60 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$80 Vol.
6%
26°C
$353 Vol.
29%
27°C
$478 Vol.
51%
28°C
$740 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$40 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,981Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,981Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti