**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 21 settembre?
27°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 5%
22°C o inferiore 2%
NUOVO
$10,417 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,417 Vol.
21 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 5%
22°C o inferiore 2%
NUOVO
$10,417 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,417 Vol.
21 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$560 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,136 Vol.
5%
27°C
$3,304 Vol.
94%
28°C
$3,563 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$481 Vol.
1%
31°C
$484 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,417Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,417Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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