Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 settembre?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
25°C o meno
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
25°C o meno
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$129 Vol.
1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
2%
28°C
$51 Vol.
4%
29°C
$20 Vol.
11%
30°C
$244 Vol.
28%
31°C
$171 Vol.
35%
32°C
$123 Vol.
18%
33°C
$101 Vol.
5%
34°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,331Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,331Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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