Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a high of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, following peak heat on August 21 that eased over the weekend. Persistent westerly sea breezes and moderate humidity levels near 60–70% are expected to limit intensification, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable conditions through the afternoon peak. Trader emphasis on 32°C (66% implied probability) versus 33°C (30.5%) reflects this narrow range and the slight cooling trend from recent highs, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential model shifts closer to the observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 23 agosto?
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
66%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a high of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, following peak heat on August 21 that eased over the weekend. Persistent westerly sea breezes and moderate humidity levels near 60–70% are expected to limit intensification, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable conditions through the afternoon peak. Trader emphasis on 32°C (66% implied probability) versus 33°C (30.5%) reflects this narrow range and the slight cooling trend from recent highs, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential model shifts closer to the observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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