Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 12 agosto?
29°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$2,038 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,178 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,885 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,674 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,536 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,427 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,492 Vol.
Sì
30°C
$20,061 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,348 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,278 Vol.
No
33°C o superiore
$7,831 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$132,749Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132,749Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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