Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 20 agosto?
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 10%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
38%
26°C
48%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 38%
27°C 10%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
21°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$65 Vol.
1%
24°C
$159 Vol.
7%
25°C
$106 Vol.
38%
26°C
$570 Vol.
48%
27°C
$207 Vol.
10%
28°C
$70 Vol.
3%
29°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,560Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,560Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 25–26 °C for Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a modest chance of showers, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and moderated by Lake Ontario’s thermal influence. This aligns with climatological August highs of 24–26 °C and the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s outlook for isolated thunderstorms amid continued warmth through Aug 17–21. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 26 °C and 25 °C, incorporates uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any model spread on peak temperatures, while lower probabilities for 27 °C or above account for limited intensification potential before cooler air arrives later in the week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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