Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles show substantial spread for Wuhan's July 6 maximum, with global and regional models producing daily peaks clustered between 29–32 °C amid variable monsoon flow. In Wuhan's humid subtropical regime, afternoon convective showers or lingering cloud cover from the East Asian summer monsoon can suppress the diurnal range by several degrees, while clearer subsidence episodes allow stronger solar heating and higher readings near 33 °C. Current early-July observations of 30–34 °C highs under mixed conditions, combined with typical July climatology of 31–33 °C averages, underpin the tight market distribution across those central bins and the modest probability assigned to extremes. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 6?
30°C 20%
32°C 16.0%
33°C 13.2%
31°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
5%
30°C 20%
32°C 16.0%
33°C 13.2%
31°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$50 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$11 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
12%
30°C
$32 Vol.
24%
31°C
$6 Vol.
12%
32°C
$126 Vol.
16%
33°C
$81 Vol.
9%
34°C or higher
$205 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles show substantial spread for Wuhan's July 6 maximum, with global and regional models producing daily peaks clustered between 29–32 °C amid variable monsoon flow. In Wuhan's humid subtropical regime, afternoon convective showers or lingering cloud cover from the East Asian summer monsoon can suppress the diurnal range by several degrees, while clearer subsidence episodes allow stronger solar heating and higher readings near 33 °C. Current early-July observations of 30–34 °C highs under mixed conditions, combined with typical July climatology of 31–33 °C averages, underpin the tight market distribution across those central bins and the modest probability assigned to extremes. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$521Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles show substantial spread for Wuhan's July 6 maximum, with global and regional models producing daily peaks clustered between 29–32 °C amid variable monsoon flow. In Wuhan's humid subtropical regime, afternoon convective showers or lingering cloud cover from the East Asian summer monsoon can suppress the diurnal range by several degrees, while clearer subsidence episodes allow stronger solar heating and higher readings near 33 °C. Current early-July observations of 30–34 °C highs under mixed conditions, combined with typical July climatology of 31–33 °C averages, underpin the tight market distribution across those central bins and the modest probability assigned to extremes. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$521Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction ensembles show substantial spread for Wuhan's July 6 maximum, with global and regional models producing daily peaks clustered between 29–32 °C amid variable monsoon flow. In Wuhan's humid subtropical regime, afternoon convective showers or lingering cloud cover from the East Asian summer monsoon can suppress the diurnal range by several degrees, while clearer subsidence episodes allow stronger solar heating and higher readings near 33 °C. Current early-July observations of 30–34 °C highs under mixed conditions, combined with typical July climatology of 31–33 °C averages, underpin the tight market distribution across those central bins and the modest probability assigned to extremes. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti