Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 10 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 10 agosto?
32°C o superiore 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
10 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o superiore
Sì
32°C o superiore 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
10 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$292 Vol.
No
23°C
$262 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,282 Vol.
No
25°C
$226 Vol.
No
26°C
$447 Vol.
No
27°C
$804 Vol.
No
28°C
$358 Vol.
No
29°C
$602 Vol.
No
30°C
$381 Vol.
No
31°C
$727 Vol.
No
32°C o superiore
$621 Vol.
Sì
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,002Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,002Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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