Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuante consegne Tesla nel secondo trimestre del 2026?
400k–425k 40.3%
450k–475k 19.3%
425k–450k 12%
475k+ 11.3%
$214,618 Vol.
$214,618 Vol.
<300k
<1%
300k–325k
<1%
325k–350k
<1%
350k–375k
4%
375k–400k
8%
400k–425k
36%
425k–450k
12%
450k–475k
17%
475k+
11%
400k–425k 40.3%
450k–475k 19.3%
425k–450k 12%
475k+ 11.3%
$214,618 Vol.
$214,618 Vol.
<300k
<1%
300k–325k
<1%
325k–350k
<1%
350k–375k
4%
375k–400k
8%
400k–425k
36%
425k–450k
12%
450k–475k
17%
475k+
11%
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Mercato aperto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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