Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July with adjusted profitability—have anchored trader expectations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut at roughly 53.5% implied probability. Recent Reuters reporting that marketing could begin mid-October, following a late-September prospectus release and ahead of the November midterms, has reinforced this lead while lifting November to 30.6%. Strong enterprise adoption of the Claude large language models, partnerships with AWS and Google Cloud, and potential anchor interest from Nvidia further support near-term momentum. Key catalysts ahead include the public S-1 release and completion of a $15 billion credit facility, though market conditions and regulatory timing could still shift the window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOttobre 2026 54%
Novembre 2026 30.8%
Dicembre 2026 8.9%
Febbraio 2027 3.0%
$229,819 Vol.
$229,819 Vol.
Settembre 2026
<1%
Ottobre 2026
54%
Novembre 2026
31%
Dicembre 2026
9%
Gennaio 2027
2%
Febbraio 2027
3%
Marzo 2027
1%
Aprile 2027
1%
Maggio 2027
<1%
Giugno 2027
1%
Luglio 2027
1%
Agosto 2027
<1%
Settembre 2027
1%
Ottobre 2027
<1%
Novembre 2027
<1%
Dicembre 2027
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
1%
Ottobre 2026 54%
Novembre 2026 30.8%
Dicembre 2026 8.9%
Febbraio 2027 3.0%
$229,819 Vol.
$229,819 Vol.
Settembre 2026
<1%
Ottobre 2026
54%
Novembre 2026
31%
Dicembre 2026
9%
Gennaio 2027
2%
Febbraio 2027
3%
Marzo 2027
1%
Aprile 2027
1%
Maggio 2027
<1%
Giugno 2027
1%
Luglio 2027
1%
Agosto 2027
<1%
Settembre 2027
1%
Ottobre 2027
<1%
Novembre 2027
<1%
Dicembre 2027
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
1%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July with adjusted profitability—have anchored trader expectations for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut at roughly 53.5% implied probability. Recent Reuters reporting that marketing could begin mid-October, following a late-September prospectus release and ahead of the November midterms, has reinforced this lead while lifting November to 30.6%. Strong enterprise adoption of the Claude large language models, partnerships with AWS and Google Cloud, and potential anchor interest from Nvidia further support near-term momentum. Key catalysts ahead include the public S-1 release and completion of a $15 billion credit facility, though market conditions and regulatory timing could still shift the window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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