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icon for Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?
Geopolitica·Israele

Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?

icon for Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?
Geopolitica·Israele

Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?

$2,149,484 Vol.

30 dic 2025
Polymarket

$2,149,484 Vol.

Polymarket

31 dicembre 2026

$687,730 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, aimed at updating the 1974 disengagement framework, remain the central driver of trader assessments on normalization prospects. Following the 2024 fall of the Assad regime, Israel established a security zone in southern Syria, prompting Damascus to demand full withdrawal to pre-December 2024 lines alongside an end to strikes and incursions. High-level meetings in Paris (January 2026) produced a US-supervised communication mechanism for de-escalation and intelligence sharing, but progress stalled amid the Iran conflict before resuming in Amman in August 2026 after Israeli airstrikes on a Syrian airbase. Syrian officials have signaled openness to a security pact that could evolve into broader diplomatic relations, yet emphasize deep distrust and insistence on territorial integrity, including Golan claims. Recent Israeli actions, such as the September 2026 visit by Prime Minister Netanyahu to positions inside Syria, have heightened tensions, while US pressure under the Trump administration seeks to link de-escalation with potential Abraham Accords-style outcomes. Key variables include sustained mediation, control over minority areas like Suwayda, and avoidance of escalation with third parties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,484
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, aimed at updating the 1974 disengagement framework, remain the central driver of trader assessments on normalization prospects. Following the 2024 fall of the Assad regime, Israel established a security zone in southern Syria, prompting Damascus to demand full withdrawal to pre-December 2024 lines alongside an end to strikes and incursions. High-level meetings in Paris (January 2026) produced a US-supervised communication mechanism for de-escalation and intelligence sharing, but progress stalled amid the Iran conflict before resuming in Amman in August 2026 after Israeli airstrikes on a Syrian airbase. Syrian officials have signaled openness to a security pact that could evolve into broader diplomatic relations, yet emphasize deep distrust and insistence on territorial integrity, including Golan claims. Recent Israeli actions, such as the September 2026 visit by Prime Minister Netanyahu to positions inside Syria, have heightened tensions, while US pressure under the Trump administration seeks to link de-escalation with potential Abraham Accords-style outcomes. Key variables include sustained mediation, control over minority areas like Suwayda, and avoidance of escalation with third parties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,484
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 dicembre 2026" a 8%, seguito da "31 dicembre 2025" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 8¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 8% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?" ha generato $2.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 2, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?" è "31 dicembre 2026" a solo 8%, con "31 dicembre 2025" vicino a 0%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Israele e Siria normalizzano le relazioni con...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.