Israeli forces have conducted extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs and maintained a ground presence in southern Lebanon following the 2026 escalation and subsequent June truce, but have not advanced into central Beirut amid U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on phased withdrawals from pilot zones and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent clashes near the border, including incidents involving the Lebanese army in July and early August, alongside continued strikes in the south, underscore persistent tensions that could influence escalation risks or de-escalation timelines. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and any reported violations of the ceasefire framework remain key variables for market assessments of further incursions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLe forze israeliane entrano a Beirut da...?
Le forze israeliane entrano a Beirut da...?
$137,155 Vol.
30 ago 2026
31 agosto
3%
$137,155 Vol.
31 agosto
$7,242 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs and maintained a ground presence in southern Lebanon following the 2026 escalation and subsequent June truce, but have not advanced into central Beirut amid U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on phased withdrawals from pilot zones and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent clashes near the border, including incidents involving the Lebanese army in July and early August, alongside continued strikes in the south, underscore persistent tensions that could influence escalation risks or de-escalation timelines. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and any reported violations of the ceasefire framework remain key variables for market assessments of further incursions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$137,155Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs and maintained a ground presence in southern Lebanon following the 2026 escalation and subsequent June truce, but have not advanced into central Beirut amid U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on phased withdrawals from pilot zones and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent clashes near the border, including incidents involving the Lebanese army in July and early August, alongside continued strikes in the south, underscore persistent tensions that could influence escalation risks or de-escalation timelines. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and any reported violations of the ceasefire framework remain key variables for market assessments of further incursions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$137,155Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces have conducted extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs and maintained a ground presence in southern Lebanon following the 2026 escalation and subsequent June truce, but have not advanced into central Beirut amid U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on phased withdrawals from pilot zones and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent clashes near the border, including incidents involving the Lebanese army in July and early August, alongside continued strikes in the south, underscore persistent tensions that could influence escalation risks or de-escalation timelines. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and any reported violations of the ceasefire framework remain key variables for market assessments of further incursions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti