Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 21 agosto?
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
34%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$20 Vol.
1%
11°C
$28 Vol.
1%
12°C
$107 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$100 Vol.
59%
15°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,700Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,700Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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