**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Beijing tonight, favoring radiative cooling that should bring the September 10 minimum into the 13–16 °C range.** Official guidance consistently projects a low near 14 °C under dry, high-pressure conditions, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average overnight lows reach about 17 °C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Model consensus is strong on minimal precipitation and northerly flow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the minimum create the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around the 12–14 °C outcomes. Historical extremes for the date range from 7.7 °C to over 22 °C, underscoring why traders assign notable weight to both the warm tail (18 °C+) and cold tail (8 °C or below) despite the central forecast cluster. Final resolution will hinge on the official overnight minimum reported by Beijing stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 10 settembre?
18°C o superiore 71%
8°C o inferiore 70%
17°C 39%
12°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
70%
9°C
10%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
21%
16°C
19%
17°C
39%
18°C o superiore
71%
18°C o superiore 71%
8°C o inferiore 70%
17°C 39%
12°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$61 Vol.
70%
9°C
$26 Vol.
10%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C o superiore
$44 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Beijing tonight, favoring radiative cooling that should bring the September 10 minimum into the 13–16 °C range.**
Official guidance consistently projects a low near 14 °C under dry, high-pressure conditions, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average overnight lows reach about 17 °C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Model consensus is strong on minimal precipitation and northerly flow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the minimum create the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around the 12–14 °C outcomes. Historical extremes for the date range from 7.7 °C to over 22 °C, underscoring why traders assign notable weight to both the warm tail (18 °C+) and cold tail (8 °C or below) despite the central forecast cluster. Final resolution will hinge on the official overnight minimum reported by Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$131Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Beijing tonight, favoring radiative cooling that should bring the September 10 minimum into the 13–16 °C range.**
Official guidance consistently projects a low near 14 °C under dry, high-pressure conditions, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average overnight lows reach about 17 °C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Model consensus is strong on minimal precipitation and northerly flow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the minimum create the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around the 12–14 °C outcomes. Historical extremes for the date range from 7.7 °C to over 22 °C, underscoring why traders assign notable weight to both the warm tail (18 °C+) and cold tail (8 °C or below) despite the central forecast cluster. Final resolution will hinge on the official overnight minimum reported by Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Beijing tonight, favoring radiative cooling that should bring the September 10 minimum into the 13–16 °C range.** Official guidance consistently projects a low near 14 °C under dry, high-pressure conditions, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average overnight lows reach about 17 °C but can dip lower with minimal cloud cover. Model consensus is strong on minimal precipitation and northerly flow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the minimum create the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around the 12–14 °C outcomes. Historical extremes for the date range from 7.7 °C to over 22 °C, underscoring why traders assign notable weight to both the warm tail (18 °C+) and cold tail (8 °C or below) despite the central forecast cluster. Final resolution will hinge on the official overnight minimum reported by Beijing stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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