Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 9 settembre?
21°C 50%
20°C 49%
18°C 46%
19°C 46%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
1%
17°C
38%
18°C
46%
19°C
46%
20°C
49%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 50%
20°C 49%
18°C 46%
19°C 46%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$328 Vol.
1%
17°C
$47 Vol.
38%
18°C
$20 Vol.
46%
19°C
$38 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C o superiore
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,438Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,438Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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