Traders see near-even odds on Chongqing's August 30 minimum temperature because short-range forecast models show substantial uncertainty in overnight cooling. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and the city's basin topography can produce sharp differences in radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping both sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes near 46%. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind shifts that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will likely narrow the spread as the 24-hour window tightens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 30 agosto?
19°C or below 92%
29°C or higher 92%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
19°C or below
92%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
92%
19°C or below 92%
29°C or higher 92%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$5 Vol.
50%
28°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds on Chongqing's August 30 minimum temperature because short-range forecast models show substantial uncertainty in overnight cooling. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and the city's basin topography can produce sharp differences in radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping both sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes near 46%. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind shifts that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will likely narrow the spread as the 24-hour window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$26Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds on Chongqing's August 30 minimum temperature because short-range forecast models show substantial uncertainty in overnight cooling. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and the city's basin topography can produce sharp differences in radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping both sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes near 46%. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind shifts that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will likely narrow the spread as the 24-hour window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds on Chongqing's August 30 minimum temperature because short-range forecast models show substantial uncertainty in overnight cooling. Subtropical monsoon influences, variable cloud cover, and the city's basin topography can produce sharp differences in radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping both sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes near 46%. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind shifts that could either enhance or suppress the diurnal range. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will likely narrow the spread as the 24-hour window tightens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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