Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–26°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range compared to drier historical analogs. Official guidance shows no approaching cold fronts or clear-sky scenarios that would drive minima below 24°C or allow spikes above 27°C, keeping probabilities concentrated near the long-term average low of 25.1°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations through the weekend will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 31 agosto?
26°C 44%
21°C or below 43%
23°C 42%
28°C 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
43%
22°C
29%
23°C
42%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
44%
27°C
25%
28°C
42%
29°C
42%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
42%
26°C 44%
21°C or below 43%
23°C 42%
28°C 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
42%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
42%
29°C
$0 Vol.
42%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–26°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range compared to drier historical analogs. Official guidance shows no approaching cold fronts or clear-sky scenarios that would drive minima below 24°C or allow spikes above 27°C, keeping probabilities concentrated near the long-term average low of 25.1°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations through the weekend will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$260Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–26°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range compared to drier historical analogs. Official guidance shows no approaching cold fronts or clear-sky scenarios that would drive minima below 24°C or allow spikes above 27°C, keeping probabilities concentrated near the long-term average low of 25.1°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations through the weekend will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$260Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–26°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range compared to drier historical analogs. Official guidance shows no approaching cold fronts or clear-sky scenarios that would drive minima below 24°C or allow spikes above 27°C, keeping probabilities concentrated near the long-term average low of 25.1°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations through the weekend will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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