**Forecast consensus from regional models points to nighttime lows near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 3, consistent with long-term September averages of roughly 28–29°C driven by Red Sea heat retention, high humidity (50–65%), and light northwest winds.** Stable atmospheric conditions with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk limit rapid cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum well above 24°C in most official guidance. The market’s elevated implied probability on 24°C or below (49%) likely reflects trader weighting of occasional model variability or historical cool outliers, while the clustered probabilities around 27–33°C align with the narrow observed range in recent years. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or cloudier periods, appear imminent to push temperatures notably lower before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 3 settembre?
24°C o inferiore 99%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C o inferiore
99%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
49%
34°C o superiore
2%
24°C o inferiore 99%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C o inferiore
99%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
49%
34°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from regional models points to nighttime lows near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 3, consistent with long-term September averages of roughly 28–29°C driven by Red Sea heat retention, high humidity (50–65%), and light northwest winds.** Stable atmospheric conditions with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk limit rapid cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum well above 24°C in most official guidance. The market’s elevated implied probability on 24°C or below (49%) likely reflects trader weighting of occasional model variability or historical cool outliers, while the clustered probabilities around 27–33°C align with the narrow observed range in recent years. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or cloudier periods, appear imminent to push temperatures notably lower before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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