Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs position 14–16°C as the dominant range for London’s daily minimum on August 20 because moderate southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are expected to keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Ensemble guidance shows little support for sub-13°C readings unless clearer skies develop, while warmer 17°C outcomes remain unlikely without stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts issued August 17–18 reinforce this clustering, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band and historical August minima around 14°C into the current market-implied distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 agosto?
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 20%
17°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
20%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 20%
17°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$18 Vol.
20%
15°C
$33 Vol.
47%
16°C
$102 Vol.
32%
17°C
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$122 Vol.
1%
19°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs position 14–16°C as the dominant range for London’s daily minimum on August 20 because moderate southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are expected to keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Ensemble guidance shows little support for sub-13°C readings unless clearer skies develop, while warmer 17°C outcomes remain unlikely without stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts issued August 17–18 reinforce this clustering, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band and historical August minima around 14°C into the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$777Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs position 14–16°C as the dominant range for London’s daily minimum on August 20 because moderate southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are expected to keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Ensemble guidance shows little support for sub-13°C readings unless clearer skies develop, while warmer 17°C outcomes remain unlikely without stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts issued August 17–18 reinforce this clustering, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band and historical August minima around 14°C into the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$777Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs position 14–16°C as the dominant range for London’s daily minimum on August 20 because moderate southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are expected to keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Ensemble guidance shows little support for sub-13°C readings unless clearer skies develop, while warmer 17°C outcomes remain unlikely without stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts issued August 17–18 reinforce this clustering, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band and historical August minima around 14°C into the current market-implied distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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