**Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions following daytime highs near 19–21°C.** This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, and recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread due to stable high-pressure influences and light winds that promote efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 10°C reflects high confidence in these ensemble forecasts and historical verification rates for similar setups, though the market-implied odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in precise measurement at official stations. Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover raising the minimum by 1–2°C, a shift in steering patterns introducing milder maritime air, or localized urban heat-island effects varying by station—factors that updated model runs or morning observations could still adjust before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra l'11 giugno?
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,906 Vol.
$27,906 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C o superiore
<1%
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,906 Vol.
$27,906 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions following daytime highs near 19–21°C.** This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, and recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread due to stable high-pressure influences and light winds that promote efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 10°C reflects high confidence in these ensemble forecasts and historical verification rates for similar setups, though the market-implied odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in precise measurement at official stations. Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover raising the minimum by 1–2°C, a shift in steering patterns introducing milder maritime air, or localized urban heat-island effects varying by station—factors that updated model runs or morning observations could still adjust before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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