Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 6 settling near 14–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest radiational cooling after a warm daytime maximum around 24–26 °C. Official Met Office guidance currently projects a slightly higher 18 °C low, creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning between those two leading outcomes. Model consensus on wind speeds below 5 m/s and dew points near 11–12 °C supports the tight clustering, while minor differences in cloud cover timing introduce the observed uncertainty. Resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from standard London stations, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or humidity the key variables that could shift final settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 6 settembre?
14°C 46%
15°C 42%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
6%
14°C
46%
15°C
42%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
14°C 46%
15°C 42%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C
$78 Vol.
4%
13°C
$98 Vol.
6%
14°C
$1,386 Vol.
46%
15°C
$456 Vol.
42%
16°C
$541 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$22 Vol.
1%
19°C
$22 Vol.
1%
20°C o superiore
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 6 settling near 14–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest radiational cooling after a warm daytime maximum around 24–26 °C. Official Met Office guidance currently projects a slightly higher 18 °C low, creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning between those two leading outcomes. Model consensus on wind speeds below 5 m/s and dew points near 11–12 °C supports the tight clustering, while minor differences in cloud cover timing introduce the observed uncertainty. Resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from standard London stations, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or humidity the key variables that could shift final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,626Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 6 settling near 14–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest radiational cooling after a warm daytime maximum around 24–26 °C. Official Met Office guidance currently projects a slightly higher 18 °C low, creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning between those two leading outcomes. Model consensus on wind speeds below 5 m/s and dew points near 11–12 °C supports the tight clustering, while minor differences in cloud cover timing introduce the observed uncertainty. Resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from standard London stations, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or humidity the key variables that could shift final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,626Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 6 settling near 14–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest radiational cooling after a warm daytime maximum around 24–26 °C. Official Met Office guidance currently projects a slightly higher 18 °C low, creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning between those two leading outcomes. Model consensus on wind speeds below 5 m/s and dew points near 11–12 °C supports the tight clustering, while minor differences in cloud cover timing introduce the observed uncertainty. Resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from standard London stations, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or humidity the key variables that could shift final settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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