Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 21, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 m, which promotes rapid nighttime radiative cooling during the rainy season. Overcast skies and scattered light-to-moderate precipitation—consistent with active monsoon moisture—limit further temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and suppressing clear-sky cooling. Historical August minima average near 10–12°C, but recent daily observations have ranged 12–15°C amid above-normal moisture. Market-implied odds, with 15°C at 60% and 13–14°C clustered near 40%, reflect traders weighting the narrow forecast envelope and typical model spread for minimum temperatures under these conditions. Updated model runs tonight and official station readings will provide the next resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 21 agosto?
13°C 46%
14°C 43%
12°C 37%
11°C 19%
$2,974 Vol.
$2,974 Vol.
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
19%
12°C
37%
13°C
46%
14°C
43%
15°C
60%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
14°C 43%
12°C 37%
11°C 19%
$2,974 Vol.
$2,974 Vol.
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$128 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$1 Vol.
46%
14°C
$1 Vol.
43%
15°C
$81 Vol.
60%
16°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$954 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 21, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 m, which promotes rapid nighttime radiative cooling during the rainy season. Overcast skies and scattered light-to-moderate precipitation—consistent with active monsoon moisture—limit further temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and suppressing clear-sky cooling. Historical August minima average near 10–12°C, but recent daily observations have ranged 12–15°C amid above-normal moisture. Market-implied odds, with 15°C at 60% and 13–14°C clustered near 40%, reflect traders weighting the narrow forecast envelope and typical model spread for minimum temperatures under these conditions. Updated model runs tonight and official station readings will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,974Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 21, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 m, which promotes rapid nighttime radiative cooling during the rainy season. Overcast skies and scattered light-to-moderate precipitation—consistent with active monsoon moisture—limit further temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and suppressing clear-sky cooling. Historical August minima average near 10–12°C, but recent daily observations have ranged 12–15°C amid above-normal moisture. Market-implied odds, with 15°C at 60% and 13–14°C clustered near 40%, reflect traders weighting the narrow forecast envelope and typical model spread for minimum temperatures under these conditions. Updated model runs tonight and official station readings will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,974Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 21, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 m, which promotes rapid nighttime radiative cooling during the rainy season. Overcast skies and scattered light-to-moderate precipitation—consistent with active monsoon moisture—limit further temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and suppressing clear-sky cooling. Historical August minima average near 10–12°C, but recent daily observations have ranged 12–15°C amid above-normal moisture. Market-implied odds, with 15°C at 60% and 13–14°C clustered near 40%, reflect traders weighting the narrow forecast envelope and typical model spread for minimum temperatures under these conditions. Updated model runs tonight and official station readings will provide the next resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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