Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle near 10–11°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest southerly flow while clear skies promote radiational cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds across model runs create the tight clustering around these values, with cooler scenarios requiring stronger northerly advection or increased cloud cover to drop readings to 7–9°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8–12°C, providing context for the current spread. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 10 settembre?
4°C o inferiore 45%
14°C o superiore 44%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C o inferiore
45%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
29%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C o superiore
44%
4°C o inferiore 45%
14°C o superiore 44%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C o inferiore
45%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
29%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C o superiore
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle near 10–11°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest southerly flow while clear skies promote radiational cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds across model runs create the tight clustering around these values, with cooler scenarios requiring stronger northerly advection or increased cloud cover to drop readings to 7–9°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 8–12°C, providing context for the current spread. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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