Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rain from the East Asian summer monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, with official forecasts converging on a daily minimum of 25–26 °C for 21 August. Multiple model runs and local station guidance show no strong cold advection or clear-sky window that would drop readings to 24 °C or below, while typical August climatology and recent days’ observed lows near 26 °C reinforce the narrow 25–26 °C band. Traders are weighting real-time observational thresholds from the Shenzhen national basic station, where the official minimum will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 21 agosto?
25°C 96%
24°C 21%
26°C 6.4%
23°C or below 2%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
96%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96%
24°C 21%
26°C 6.4%
23°C or below 2%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
96%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rain from the East Asian summer monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, with official forecasts converging on a daily minimum of 25–26 °C for 21 August. Multiple model runs and local station guidance show no strong cold advection or clear-sky window that would drop readings to 24 °C or below, while typical August climatology and recent days’ observed lows near 26 °C reinforce the narrow 25–26 °C band. Traders are weighting real-time observational thresholds from the Shenzhen national basic station, where the official minimum will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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